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Técnicas de agrupamento aplicadas aos indicadores de Crescimento Verde da OCDE
Resumo
A Organização para a Cooperação e Desenvolvimento Econômico (OCDE) publica anualmente dados sobre os indicadores de Crescimento Verde de todos os países. Em geral, essa base é discutida na literatura usando estatísticas descritivas, as quais fornecem uma visão geral sobre o desempenho sustentável dos países. No entanto, não há trabalhos que relatem a aplicação de técnicas de agrupamento associadas aos algoritmos de mineração de dados com o intuito de encontrar fatores que explicam as semelhanças e diferenças entre os países avaliados por esses indicadores. Por essa razão, este trabalho relata a aplicação de técnicas de agrupamento k-means e clusterização hierárquica para encontrar grupos de países com desempenhos semelhantes com relação aos indicadores sustentáveis e demográficos avaliados pela OCDE. Para essa aplicação, foram usados os dados do ano de 2019 considerando todos os países de forma individual, excluindo os dados sobre blocos econômicos. Após a limpeza e preparação dos dados, 153 países e 15 indicadores foram avaliados, resultando em 5 grupos de países. Alguns grupos apresentaram características dominantes entre os países nele incluídos. O cluster 3 foi o maior grupo, englobando 96 países subdesenvolvidos ou em desenvolvimento, com economia agroexportadora. O cluster 0 agrupou países com grande crescimento populacional, e o Cluster 1 destacou países com altas taxas de mortalidade por exposição ao radônio. Por fim, o cluster 2 teve como destaque as variáveis demográficas referentes à idade e gênero e o cluster 4 agrupou países com baixas taxas de exposição a poluição decorrente de materiais particulados.
Palavras-chave
agrupamento; crescimento verde; mineração de dados; OCDE; sustentabilidade
Texto completo:
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